INSIGHT

SORBUS spotlight: The Fed has a tricky choice.

For both the real economy and for financial markets there are few variables as important as the Fed Funds rate. The pricing of stocks and bonds, the direction of the housing market and corporate hiring and investment plans are all ultimately affected, to a greater or lesser degree, by the decisions the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) makes on rates.

read more

SORBUS spotlight: After the war

It has been more than two years since Russia invaded Ukraine. The war itself has bogged down into a vicious stalemate and the direct economic impacts on Ukraine’s allies have fallen back as global energy prices have receded. However the conflict will eventually end, it seems likely to herald large changes in the structure of the global economy, reshaping global energy markets and pushing defence spending higher.

read more

SORBUS spotlight: The US Outlook

The United States has been the standout growth story of the post-pandemic years. Perhaps the best way to measure this is to compare the size of national output at the end of 2023 to the level it was expected to be at by the end of 2023 in the last set of pre-covid IMF forecasts back in the winter of 2019.

read more